Forecasting the weather is a skill that requires a wide range of expert knowledge, understanding and patience. We'll use a blend of these to carefully prepare the latest forecast for you by hand; none of our forecasts simply use the kind of automated data that you'll often see in the 3-5 day forecasts widely available on the web for example, which are prone to errors as they simply roll off a computer unchecked for accuracy by human intervention.  All of our 5 day forecasts are written daily at 06:30 hrs and are available on the website shortly afterwards. In terms of accuracy, the forecasts we produce here at Wroxall Weather are the most accurate for the Island that you will find, including the MET Office.

 

For forecasts between two and four weeks ahead we'll use a blend of climatological data and patterning, the latest indicators where correlation to European weather patterning is scientifically known to exist (such as NAO, AO, ENSO, current El Nina/La nino patterns and  sunspot activity) and blend these with our own seasonal forecasts. 

 

For forecasts between one and two weeks out we'll use all the above but also our own latest four week forecast, recent weather patterning and trends, recent temperature and rainfall anomalies, current ground state, local sea water temperatures and anomalies, current European snow cover, recent blocking patterns and so on.

 

Forecasts a week away will be the most accurate, particularly in settled conditions and we will use traditional techniques to develop these forecasts.